Final Report of DEVCOM ARL Director’s Future Ventures (FY21): Novel AI Decision Aids for Decision Dynamics, Deception, and Game Theory (Summary Technical Report, Oct 2020–Sep 2021)

Author(s):

Chou P Hung, J Zachary Hare, B Christopher Rinderspacher, Sue E Kase, Simon M Su, Walter Peregrim, Olena Tkachenko, Tomer Krayzman, Adrienne J Raglin, and John T Richardson

Abstract:

This report describes efforts conducted in FY 2021 under the US Army Combat Capabilities Development Command (DEVCOM) Army Research Laboratory’s (ARL) Director’s Future Ventures project “Decision Dynamics, Deception, and Game Theory”. To improve the effectiveness of decision aids for command and control of Multi-Domain Operations, it is necessary to develop artificial intelligence (AI) capable of assisting in complex decision-making. This project developed an AI test-bed, ARL Battlespace, for creating and investigating AI decision aids for complex reasoning. ARL Battlespace is a multiplayer network war game with teams of friendly and hostile human and AI agents. Initial results with hierarchical Bayesian modeling illustrate the potential for a framework for multidisciplinary development of AI with complex reasoning under scenarios with uncertainty, deception, and game theory. The project also began developing a framework for human–AI collaborative decision-making based on potential integration with the Battlespace Visualization and Interaction platform and with the Persistent Services Framework of high-performance computing. These results open research to improve the complex decision-making and collaborative capabilities of human–AI teams.