Causality and Machine Learning Review

Report Number:
ARL-TR-9599

Publish Date:

October 17, 2022

Distribution:

Approved for public release: distribution is unlimited.


Author(s):

Atul Rawal, Adrienne Raglin, Danda B Rawat, and Brian M Sadler

Abstract:

Causal inference has likely been a part of science as long as science itself, with the idea of cause and effect having defined the fundamental sciences from Newton’s laws to the devastating COVID-19 pandemic. The cause explains the “why,” whereas the effect describes the “what.” The domain itself encompasses a plethora of disciplines from statistics and computer science to economics and philosophy. Recent advancements in machine learning and artificial intelligence systems have nourished a renewed interest in identifying and estimating the cause-and-effect relationship from the substantial amount of available observational data. This has resulted in various new studies aimed at providing novel methods for identifying and estimating causal inference. We include a detailed taxonomy of causal inference frameworks, methods, and evaluation. An overview of causality for security is also provided. Open challenges are delineated, and measures for evaluating robustness of causal inference methods are described. This report aims to provide a comprehensive survey on such studies of causality. We provide an in-depth review of causality frameworks and describe the different methods.

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